Syrian intervention in Lebanon firmly rejected. Opinion split on Iran war. Government not doing enough on cost of living. Clear opposition to hospital privatisation.

Syria Poll - April 2026

Welcome to the April wave of Syria Poll. This issue presents findings from surveys conducted in Damascus, Rural Damascus, and Homs in mid April 2026, examining how residents assess their living conditions, government performance, and recent political developments.

1. With Iran being a strong backer of the Assad regime, many respondents hold critical views of its regional influence. At the same time, opinion on the US-Israeli war against Iran is divided. 43% of respondents support it, while 39% oppose it. A further 18% remain undecided.

2. While views on the Iran war are split, there is clearer consensus on whether Syria should join the war. A majority of 63% opposes Syrian military intervention in Lebanon, while only 17% are in favour. Around one in five remain unsure.

3. With millions of Syrians still living abroad, perceptions of return conditions remain cautious. 49% consider Syria unsafe for refugee return, while 27% say it is safe. The remainder take a more ambivalent position.

4. The UN plays multiple roles in Syria, from humanitarian assistance to political engagement. Overall, perceptions are mixed but lean negative. 38% rate the UN’s role negatively, compared to 26% who view it positively. A substantial 36% express neither a clearly positive nor negative view.

5. Economic pressure remains a defining feature of daily life. A combined 62% report difficulties covering living expenses on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis. Only 10% say they have not faced such difficulties over the past year.

6. Since February, satisfaction with public services has dropped markedly. The share of respondents expressing satisfaction has fallen from 49% to 25%, while dissatisfaction has increased from 16% to 31%. A growing share now takes a neutral position.

7. Amid rising costs and widespread economic strain, confidence in the government’s response is low. Only 13% believe it is doing enough to address price increases, while 66% say current efforts are insufficient.

8. Recent statements by officials about expanding private-sector involvement in healthcare have sparked concern. A large majority of 88% opposes transferring state-run hospitals to the private sector, while only a small minority expresses support.

9. Since February, perceptions of safety have deteriorated. The share of respondents who say they feel safe has fallen from 67% to 38%, while those who feel unsafe has risen from 8% to 26%.

10. As Syria’s education system undergoes reform, attitudes toward discipline reflect changing norms. A majority of 62% say physical punishment in schools is never acceptable. Others express conditional acceptance, with smaller shares saying it is acceptable in some or all circumstances. The question forms part of an upcoming series on educational reform in Syria in Transition.

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Syria Poll is a recurring, structured public opinion survey capturing Syrians’ views on their personal circumstances, politics, the economy, and wider public affairs. It is produced with analytical support from the Clingendael Institute.

Numbers can help make complex realities more tangible, but they are never the whole story. When we ask about “transitional justice,” what do people actually understand by that term? After decades of dictatorship in which expressing a political opinion could come at a heavy price, how much of an answer reflects conviction, and how much reflects caution?

We are aware of these limits. That is why we do not treat numbers as final truths. In the coming months, we will expand the geographic reach of our surveys to make them more representative. We will also complement them with focus group discussions in different settings, so that we can better understand what lies behind the answers.

The February and April waves were conducted in Damascus, Rural Damascus, and Homs over five-day fieldwork periods using face-to-face interviews administered on tablets (CAPI).

In each wave, a total of 900 respondents were interviewed (300 in each governorate). The samples were designed to enable comparison across the three surveyed areas. They were therefore equally allocated across locations, rather than proportionally distributed according to population size. As a result, the survey is not nationally representative, and aggregate findings should not be interpreted as reflecting the population distribution of Syria as a whole.

Within each location, neighborhoods were selected to reflect variation in living standards (higher-, middle-, and lower-income areas). Gender and age quotas were applied to ensure demographic balance among respondents. Interviews were conducted in public settings by trained local field researchers. Participation was voluntary and anonymous, and no personal identifiers were collected.

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